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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.64+1.19vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University-0.40+1.16vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.18-0.02vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.28-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
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3.16Sacred Heart University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.98Wesleyan University-0.180.1%1st Place
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1.67Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Vincens | 27.5% | 36.7% | 24.7% | 11.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 8.4% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 48.2% |
| Ali Dawes | 11.3% | 17.0% | 34.3% | 37.4% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 52.8% | 31.1% | 12.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.