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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+0.66vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.64+0.21vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.180.00vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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2.21Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
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3.0Wesleyan University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.13Sacred Heart University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 52.5% | 32.4% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 26.8% | 36.5% | 25.8% | 10.9% |
| Ali Dawes | 12.3% | 15.7% | 31.9% | 40.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 8.4% | 15.4% | 30.7% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.