← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College1.28+0.67vs Predicted
-
2Wesleyan University-0.18+0.96vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.64-0.77vs Predicted
-
4Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.67Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
-
2.96Wesleyan University-0.180.1%1st Place
-
2.23Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
-
3.15Sacred Heart University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 53.5% | 30.3% | 12.1% | 4.1% |
| Ali Dawes | 11.8% | 18.0% | 33.0% | 37.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 25.4% | 38.4% | 24.1% | 12.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 9.3% | 13.3% | 30.8% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.