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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+7.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+4.64vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.29+8.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.36-0.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.53vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.52vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-0.92vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+2.66vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.37-1.14vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.23-1.83vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-4.00vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-7.05vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.95-7.73vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.31-6.10vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.08-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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13.35Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.08Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy3.370.0%1st Place
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10.17Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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10.82Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 32.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Kana | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 22.1% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ben Spector | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.