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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.09+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.05+2.64vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.16+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.05+0.71vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.28-2.16vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.72-1.80vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-2.61-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Princeton University1.090.5%1st Place
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4.64University of Delaware-1.050.1%1st Place
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3.4Drexel University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Pittsburgh-1.050.0%1st Place
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2.84Ocean County College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.2Monmouth University-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.32Webb Institute-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whitaker | 48.6% | 28.2% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 5.7% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 26.8% | 10.8% |
| Haley Clemson | 12.4% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Pepin | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 28.5% | 10.8% |
| John Kirk | 19.5% | 27.3% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Nuse | 7.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 23.6% | 18.6% | 6.0% |
| Ian Dickson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.