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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.72+2.55vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.16+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.05+1.11vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.81-0.23vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.28-2.72vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.46vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-2.61-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Monmouth University-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.77Drexel University-0.160.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Delaware-1.050.1%1st Place
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3.77Princeton University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.28Ocean County College0.280.4%1st Place
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5.54University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.99Webb Institute-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nuse | 14.1% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Haley Clemson | 23.9% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 16.1% | 6.1% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 12.0% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% |
| John Kirk | 36.0% | 27.4% | 18.2% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Steven Cefalu | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| Ian Dickson | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 21.4% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.