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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.45+1.79vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.14+1.19vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.46+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.95+1.03vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.23-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.31-0.52vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.47-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Drexel University0.450.3%1st Place
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3.19Princeton University0.140.2%1st Place
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4.24Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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3.17Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Pittsburgh-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ellis | 28.5% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 18.5% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| Martha Diezemann | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 26.8% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 19.7% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Heather Smith | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 42.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.