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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.46+3.12vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.45+0.79vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23+0.10vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.14-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.95+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.31-0.46vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.47-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.79Drexel University0.450.3%1st Place
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3.1Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
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3.28Princeton University0.140.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Pittsburgh-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.11Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Lane | 12.4% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 12.0% |
| John Ellis | 26.0% | 24.1% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 20.6% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 19.9% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Martha Diezemann | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 23.7% | 27.2% |
| Heather Smith | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 42.8% |
| Declan Gaylo | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.