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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.23+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.95+2.85vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.45-0.36vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.47+0.10vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.46-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.31-0.59vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.51-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Ocean County College0.230.3%1st Place
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4.85University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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2.64Drexel University0.450.3%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.1Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-1.310.1%1st Place
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3.98Princeton University-0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 25.1% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Martha Diezemann | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 23.6% |
| John Ellis | 28.8% | 25.7% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 10.9% |
| Veronica Lane | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% |
| Heather Smith | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 41.4% |
| George Kevrekidis | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.