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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.23+1.89vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.51+2.11vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.46+1.09vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.45-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.95-0.13vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.47-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-1.31-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Ocean County College0.230.3%1st Place
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4.11Princeton University-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.09Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.67Drexel University0.450.3%1st Place
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4.87University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Pittsburgh-1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 27.0% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| George Kevrekidis | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 10.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| John Ellis | 29.8% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Martha Diezemann | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 24.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% |
| Heather Smith | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.