← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University-0.46+2.97vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.23+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University0.45-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.51+0.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Pittsburgh-1.31+0.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-0.95-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute-0.47-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
2.95Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
-
2.65Drexel University0.450.3%1st Place
-
4.24Princeton University-0.510.1%1st Place
-
5.42University of Pittsburgh-1.310.0%1st Place
-
4.87University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
-
3.9Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Lane | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 22.8% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| John Ellis | 28.6% | 25.7% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| George Kevrekidis | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.0% |
| Heather Smith | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 40.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 25.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.