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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84-0.79vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.81-1.72vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.68-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.01-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.80-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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1.81University of Minnesota2.130.5%1st Place
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3.21University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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3.28Northwestern University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.06Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bruce | 22.1% | 27.5% | 23.1% | 19.0% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alison Kent | 48.4% | 30.7% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 12.6% | 17.3% | 27.3% | 25.7% | 13.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Medina Krevans | 12.6% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 27.0% | 15.6% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 32.0% | 34.7% | 8.2% |
| John O'Leary | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 25.1% | 43.9% | 12.5% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.