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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.84+1.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.81-0.72vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.27-2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.01-0.64vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.68-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.80-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of Minnesota2.130.5%1st Place
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3.2University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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3.28Northwestern University0.810.1%1st Place
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2.68Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 49.1% | 28.5% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 13.2% | 18.2% | 26.0% | 24.7% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Medina Krevans | 11.2% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 26.6% | 14.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 21.8% | 25.8% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 7.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John O'Leary | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 24.5% | 43.4% | 13.7% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 32.6% | 34.7% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.