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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+2.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.62+3.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.94vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.31+2.80vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+4.37vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+0.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05+0.77vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.08-0.09vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.42vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29+0.55vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.95-6.63vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.37-5.44vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-7.30vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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10.77Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.91Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.55Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.37College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
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8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 22.4% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Drew Shea | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 32.6% |
| Ben Spector | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.