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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.87vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.84+0.28vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.00-2.92vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.68-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.80-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.01-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Minnesota2.130.5%1st Place
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2.74Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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3.08Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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5.04Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 48.7% | 27.0% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 18.8% | 28.0% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Villadsen | 11.7% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 28.0% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 16.3% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 24.1% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 35.2% | 33.5% | 7.6% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 4.9% | 10.9% | 82.0% |
| John O'Leary | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 24.0% | 46.1% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.