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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.84+2.25vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.00+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.13-1.18vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27-1.21vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.68-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.01-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.80-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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3.06Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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1.82University of Minnesota2.130.5%1st Place
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2.79Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.09Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Villadsen | 12.9% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 25.2% | 14.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 14.6% | 20.5% | 25.9% | 25.2% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 48.5% | 29.9% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 19.7% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 8.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 34.5% | 34.5% | 8.4% |
| John O'Leary | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 24.1% | 45.0% | 12.2% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.