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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+1.75vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.00+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.13-1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84-0.71vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.68-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.01-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-2.80-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.05Northwestern University1.000.2%1st Place
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1.83University of Minnesota2.130.5%1st Place
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3.29University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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5.09Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bruce | 20.7% | 25.7% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 15.1% | 19.2% | 28.1% | 23.9% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 47.5% | 30.8% | 14.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 12.6% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 29.2% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Logacho | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 33.9% | 34.4% | 8.4% |
| John O'Leary | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 25.2% | 44.9% | 12.3% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.