← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Minnesota1.18-0.39vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.08-0.34vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-1.70+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.52-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.88-3.12vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota-2.06-2.67vs Predicted
-
9University of Iowa-3.08-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.61University of Minnesota1.180.6%1st Place
-
2.66University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
-
4.88Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
-
3.4Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.88Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
5.33University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
-
6.23University of Iowa-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 58.7% | 26.1% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 18.2% | 32.6% | 24.6% | 16.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Novek | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 28.2% | 27.3% | 12.2% |
| Zachary Li | 10.3% | 17.4% | 26.2% | 22.6% | 16.1% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Jennie Werner | 6.5% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 26.1% | 19.4% | 12.0% | 3.1% |
| Christian Palo | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 34.6% | 21.4% |
| Taren Lewis | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.