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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.08+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-1.38vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.88-0.17vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.70-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-2.06-0.67vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.52-4.61vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-3.08-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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1.62University of Minnesota1.180.6%1st Place
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3.83Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.91Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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3.39Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Iowa-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 20.4% | 31.7% | 23.4% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 57.7% | 28.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.7% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 27.9% | 19.2% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| Charles Novek | 2.4% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 26.5% | 28.8% | 11.6% |
| Christian Palo | 1.3% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 21.0% | 36.2% | 19.6% |
| Zachary Li | 9.8% | 18.2% | 26.4% | 22.8% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Taren Lewis | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.