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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08-0.38vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.52-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.08+0.38vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.88-3.12vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.06-2.65vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.70-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Minnesota1.180.6%1st Place
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2.62University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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3.42Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Iowa-3.080.0%1st Place
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3.88Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.77Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 59.8% | 25.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 18.9% | 33.0% | 24.6% | 15.7% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Li | 9.2% | 17.7% | 26.7% | 22.8% | 17.0% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Taren Lewis | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 66.8% |
| Jennie Werner | 6.1% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Christian Palo | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 36.3% | 20.0% |
| Charles Novek | 3.4% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 26.2% | 28.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.