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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.08+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-1.40vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.52-0.63vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.88-1.13vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.70-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.06-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-3.08-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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1.6University of Minnesota1.180.6%1st Place
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3.37Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.87Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.94Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Iowa-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 20.7% | 30.2% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 58.6% | 27.1% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Li | 9.6% | 18.1% | 27.9% | 22.7% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Jennie Werner | 6.2% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 25.5% | 22.1% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| Charles Novek | 2.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 26.6% | 28.3% | 12.6% |
| Christian Palo | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 33.8% | 21.3% |
| Taren Lewis | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 18.9% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.