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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+4.15vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.23vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+1.47vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.19-4.33vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24+0.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.36vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-4.38vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Yale University2.5517.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.1710.2%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College2.106.8%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy2.045.2%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.998.6%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.6%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University1.073.4%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University2.1914.7%1st Place
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9.89University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University0.933.3%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont0.241.1%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University0.973.5%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston1.817.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 38.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.