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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08-0.37vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.52-1.60vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.88-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.06-1.68vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.70-3.10vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-3.08-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61University of Minnesota1.180.6%1st Place
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2.63University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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3.4Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.87Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.9Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Iowa-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 59.0% | 26.2% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 19.0% | 32.7% | 25.1% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Li | 8.8% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 24.9% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Jennie Werner | 6.9% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 23.0% | 11.9% | 1.7% |
| Christian Palo | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 21.7% | 34.5% | 20.7% |
| Charles Novek | 3.1% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 26.4% | 28.1% | 12.0% |
| Taren Lewis | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.