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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+4.18vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+6.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.20vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-1.86vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.49vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.19-6.29vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07-2.49vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-1.94vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Yale University2.5517.6%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.178.5%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University0.973.2%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.997.8%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.106.3%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania1.164.0%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy2.045.2%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston1.817.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.3%1st Place
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4.71Stanford University2.1915.7%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University1.073.6%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont0.241.3%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 38.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.