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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.60vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.16+2.13vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56-1.09vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.25-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.30-0.65vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.25-0.36vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.65-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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5.13Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.91Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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4.6Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.64Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.96Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 49.8% | 28.6% | 15.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 20.6% | 31.0% | 25.0% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 23.3% | 16.8% | 5.5% |
| Casey Brown | 16.4% | 22.8% | 29.5% | 20.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 22.9% | 24.4% | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 8.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 30.2% | 36.2% |
| Victoria Tang | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 12.9% | 26.3% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.