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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+1.54vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.17vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.25+1.61vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.21vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56-2.10vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.65+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.30-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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1.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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4.61Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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5.21Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.9Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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6.56Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.01Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Storino | 23.6% | 30.2% | 25.3% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 48.6% | 28.2% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 9.9% | 2.4% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 25.6% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Casey Brown | 16.9% | 22.7% | 29.0% | 20.0% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 30.6% | 32.2% |
| Victoria Tang | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 25.3% | 51.8% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 24.6% | 24.1% | 17.9% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.