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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.25+3.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.64vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.30+1.39vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56-2.08vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.16-1.81vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.65-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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1.75SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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5.39University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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2.92Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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6.56Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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5.19Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.99Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 23.2% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Vincent Storino | 21.2% | 27.9% | 26.6% | 16.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 51.6% | 29.3% | 13.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 22.1% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Casey Brown | 16.5% | 24.0% | 27.4% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 29.5% | 33.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 7.0% |
| Victoria Tang | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 26.6% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.