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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.61vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56-0.11vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.17vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.25-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.30-0.68vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.25-0.37vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.65-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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2.89Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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5.17Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.63Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.63Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.96Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 50.3% | 29.0% | 13.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 20.8% | 30.0% | 26.3% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 17.3% | 22.7% | 29.2% | 19.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 5.2% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 24.2% | 16.7% | 8.1% |
| Taylor Niles | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 30.1% | 35.8% |
| Victoria Tang | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 25.1% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.