← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute2.29+1.23vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.02vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.19vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.25+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Rutgers University-1.25+1.64vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-0.16-0.77vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-1.65+0.02vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-0.30-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.23Webb Institute2.290.3%1st Place
-
1.98SUNY Stony Brook2.590.4%1st Place
-
2.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
-
4.73Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
-
6.64Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.23Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
7.02Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
5.35University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 31.1% | 31.1% | 24.3% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 40.8% | 31.2% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 18.2% | 21.6% | 32.6% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 21.6% | 27.0% | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 31.7% | 33.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 24.7% | 16.9% | 5.6% |
| Victoria Tang | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 23.5% | 52.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 14.5% | 23.9% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.