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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.65vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.25+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.30+1.59vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69-2.15vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.16-0.68vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.25-0.17vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.81-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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4.73Ocean County College0.250.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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2.85Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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5.32Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.83Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.19Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 49.8% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 20.7% | 28.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 12.3% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 17.3% | 24.8% | 28.1% | 18.8% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 50.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 29.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.