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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.82vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+0.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.30+1.56vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+0.37vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.25-1.27vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-0.71vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.25-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.83Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.37Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.73Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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6.29Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.74Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 49.7% | 28.4% | 14.3% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 17.7% | 24.6% | 29.4% | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 21.1% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 22.0% | 12.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 24.3% | 17.2% | 10.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 22.1% | 24.3% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 26.2% | 29.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.