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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+1.81vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.14vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.16+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.30+1.56vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.25-0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.33vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81-0.71vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.25-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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1.86SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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5.32Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.74Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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6.29Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.76Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 20.1% | 23.3% | 29.0% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 47.0% | 29.6% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 10.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 13.5% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 20.3% | 27.5% | 27.9% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 27.2% | 28.7% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.