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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+6.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+4.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+1.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.47vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+2.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+3.26vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97+1.50vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07+0.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-5.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.68vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.99-6.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-1.84vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Dartmouth College2.106.4%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University2.179.9%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University2.1914.7%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.8%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston1.817.3%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy2.046.7%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University0.933.3%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University0.973.6%1st Place
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9.36George Washington University1.073.6%1st Place
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4.45Yale University2.5516.3%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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6.92Brown University1.997.8%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.241.3%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania1.162.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.3% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 39.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.