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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.69vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.16+2.30vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69-1.15vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.25+1.82vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.81+0.22vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.25-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.30-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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5.3Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.85Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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6.82Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.22Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.83Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 49.5% | 29.3% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 20.6% | 27.8% | 26.7% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 19.5% | 8.8% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 18.3% | 23.0% | 29.6% | 18.2% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 47.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 24.7% | 27.6% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 20.7% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 22.0% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.