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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+0.77vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.13+2.91vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23+0.34vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32+0.01vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.25-2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.86-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.5%1st Place
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4.91Rutgers University-1.130.0%1st Place
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3.34Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.01Princeton University-0.320.1%1st Place
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2.31Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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4.66University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Keister | 49.6% | 30.5% | 14.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rosemary Tomao | 2.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 46.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 10.8% | 16.1% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 16.2% | 5.1% |
| Bennett Alvaro | 6.1% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 29.2% | 25.3% | 14.2% |
| James Morrissey | 28.1% | 34.1% | 22.9% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 3.2% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 29.3% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.