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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+5.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+3.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.53vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19-1.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93+2.22vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+1.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.47vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.07-3.41vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.66vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.97-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7U. S. Naval Academy2.045.3%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.106.9%1st Place
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4.45Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston1.816.9%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.3%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University2.1915.6%1st Place
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6.79Brown University1.997.6%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University0.932.8%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University2.179.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania1.163.7%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont0.240.9%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University1.072.9%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University0.973.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Young | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 38.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.