← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.06+6.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.47vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.58+5.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.99+2.99vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.73+3.01vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.35-0.16vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota2.13+3.27vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.24vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.11vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.42-4.21vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.63-2.48vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University1.42+1.16vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia1.31+0.02vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.78-2.74vs Predicted
-
15Jacksonville University1.04-0.94vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University0.89-1.45vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.94vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.49-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.12Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.47University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
8.81George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
5.84Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.79Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.52Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
13.16Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.26Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
-
14.06Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
-
14.55Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.1% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Grace Mason | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Anna Palmer | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 27.5% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.