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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+3.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13+6.22vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+3.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.01vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.49+4.45vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.31+3.40vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.78+0.70vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-4.84vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.63-4.74vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-6.21vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University1.42-2.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.00vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.89-2.42vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.04-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.53George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.26Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.83Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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14.58Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.88Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.1% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| Grace Mason | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 27.8% |
| Anna Palmer | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.