← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.55vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.99+5.34vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.42+2.74vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.58+4.53vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35+0.92vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.73+2.16vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.08vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota2.13+1.34vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.06-2.86vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.49+1.72vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University1.42+1.25vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia1.31+0.08vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.04-0.17vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.92-7.66vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.78-4.27vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.90vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University0.89-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.55University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
7.34University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.53George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
5.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.16University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
10.34University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
7.14Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
12.72University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
-
13.25Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
13.08University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.83Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
-
7.34Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
11.73Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
-
13.1University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
14.34Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% |
| Anna Palmer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| Maeve White | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mason | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.