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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University1.42+11.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.78+7.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.63vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+1.57vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-2.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.79vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.63-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.13-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.49-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.31-1.79vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.89-1.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.98vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.04-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.92Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.47Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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5.6Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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14.57Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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13.85Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mason | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alison Kent | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 28.1% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% |
| Anna Palmer | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.