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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+3.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.89vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.48+5.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+2.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45-0.31vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.69+4.86vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.25-1.84vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37-2.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07+1.94vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-1.35vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.20+1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.06-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.05-3.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.95vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.02-9.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.06-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.0%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.3411.7%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University2.4011.2%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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7.73Brown University1.997.1%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.4512.2%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University0.691.8%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.259.8%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.378.9%1st Place
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11.94Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.273.9%1st Place
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13.24Salve Regina University0.201.5%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont1.063.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.5%1st Place
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6.55Boston College2.028.2%1st Place
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13.81Connecticut College0.061.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Chase Decker | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Robby Meek | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hudson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 25.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rory Murray | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.