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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.50+8.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+8.04vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.36+5.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+3.08vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.76+1.62vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.08+3.46vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.31vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.53-0.08vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.76-2.21vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-4.15vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.35-0.05vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.19vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.52-6.27vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.26vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.29-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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10.27University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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9.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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11.46Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.92Yale University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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13.95University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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9.73Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Pryne | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Lihan | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Megan Magill | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Christina Baker | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 34.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.