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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+7.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+1.75vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+2.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.81vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81+0.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.52vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97-0.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.18vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-0.99vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-4.60vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Yale University2.5516.2%1st Place
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9.89University of Pennsylvania1.163.5%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University2.1916.4%1st Place
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6.17Harvard University2.179.7%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.105.9%1st Place
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6.81Brown University1.999.0%1st Place
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7.34College of Charleston1.814.8%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.3%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University0.974.5%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy2.045.8%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont0.241.4%1st Place
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9.4George Washington University1.073.8%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 36.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.