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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+1.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.31+7.22vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+0.03vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.04+5.92vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-2.96vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-2.08vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.63-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-5.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.38vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.49-2.41vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.78-4.31vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.42-4.04vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.89-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.92Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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11.69Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.96Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.37Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Palmer | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 22.1% |
| Alison Kent | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Caroline Garth | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Grace Mason | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.