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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+3.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.27+9.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+2.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+2.30vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.59vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+1.01vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-3.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.01vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-1.95vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.30+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.81-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.18-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.83vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.43-1.21vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.86-3.44vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University0.59-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.3Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.3Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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14.79Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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14.11Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Shaynah True | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Miia Newman | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 29.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.