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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+4.05vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+4.59vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.81+6.12vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30+6.91vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+2.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-3.40vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.86+2.57vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-6.53vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota1.18-0.77vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.62vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.43-0.26vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-9.26vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.27-4.75vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University0.59-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.12University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.91Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.6Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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5.47Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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14.74Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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14.1Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 13.8% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Shaynah True | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Miia Newman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 28.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.