← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.84+5.57vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.96+4.05vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.38+5.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+0.64vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.55+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.81vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia1.27+5.04vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.20-2.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota1.18+3.38vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.56-2.45vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.81-0.75vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.12vs Predicted
-
13Santa Clara University0.59+1.11vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.14-5.31vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.59vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.30-3.92vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University0.43-2.21vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles0.92-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
8.13George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.64University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
-
7.31Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
12.04University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
-
5.16Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.38University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
-
7.55Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
10.25University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
-
7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
14.11Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.69Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
13.41University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
-
12.08Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.79Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
-
13.14University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| India Johnstone | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.7% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 5.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 22.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| Shaynah True | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Miia Newman | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 31.1% |
| Leah Ford | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.