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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+3.75vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+5.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+1.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+2.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.83vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.73vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-0.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-0.84vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.99-5.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.60vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Stanford University2.1914.9%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston1.816.8%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College2.107.0%1st Place
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4.39Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University2.1710.0%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.045.3%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University0.973.4%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania1.163.5%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University1.073.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University0.932.7%1st Place
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6.84Brown University1.997.9%1st Place
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6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont0.241.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.