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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+7.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.27+9.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+3.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.23vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.59+8.20vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30+4.98vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota1.18+3.40vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-2.43vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.30vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.86+1.64vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-4.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.41vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.79vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-11.19vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.81-6.78vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.43-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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7.31Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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14.2Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.98Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.27Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.22University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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14.59Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Johnstone | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Martina Sly | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 22.0% |
| Shaynah True | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 18.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Miia Newman | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.