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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+6.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+5.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+9.07vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+1.37vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.30+6.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.86+6.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-3.08vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.18+1.50vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.81-1.53vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.59+1.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.28vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-7.94vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.27-4.82vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.43-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.1Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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5.18Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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14.05Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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14.56Tulane University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Shaynah True | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 22.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| India Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Miia Newman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.