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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+8.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.63vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+2.11vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60+3.02vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+0.83vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-1.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-1.48vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.11+3.20vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.18vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71-0.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.87vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-1.86vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.51-0.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.85vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.00-3.40vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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8.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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5.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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14.77Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.6Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 19.0% | 43.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.